Thursday, May 26, 2011

金正日访中 谋求摆脱政治经济困境 North Korea Seeks Help? (W/ English Subtitles)

(VIDEO IN CHINESE, WITH ENGLISH SUBTITLES)

(http://youtu.be/GPg3kRXthkE)



【新唐人2011年5月25日讯】在中日韩举行三国首脑峰会的同时,朝鲜领导人金正日正在中国访问,这是金正日罕见的一年来第三次访华。外界分析指出,这表示目前朝鲜的经济状况难以支撑,金正日不得不再次出面寻求中国的援助,谋求摆脱国际上的孤立局面,以及国内政治、经济所面临的困境。

据韩国媒体报导,金正日5月20号乘坐火车抵达吉林延边朝鲜族自治州的图们地区,途经牡丹江、长春,21号参观了长春第一汽车厂,据说这家企业将参与一项对朝投资。

中共总理温家宝22号在东京向韩国总统李明博,透露了中国邀请金正日访华的目地,是为了让朝鲜了解中国的发展状况、为朝鲜提供借鉴。

金正日21号晚,从长春乘坐专列29个小时直达江苏扬州,23号参观了扬州一家超市的牛奶、蔬菜等商品,然后前往邗(Hán)江经济开发区,参观了晶澳太阳能科技公司。24号金正日抵达南京,参观了熊猫电子、奥运赛场和世界博物馆等。当天下午前往北京,与中共领导人会谈。

朝鲜缺乏能源、粮食和重要的原材料,并且因为「核项目」而受到联合国的制裁。《美国之音》23号指出,中国担心朝鲜经济崩溃将导致难民潮涌入中国。

韩国总统府发言人将金正日这次的访问称为「一次教育之旅」。日本《朝日新闻》则援引分析说,金正日这次访华是在「尴尬的请求中国援助」,以缓解朝鲜正面临的缺粮困境。

美国里奇蒙大学政治学教授王维正:「北朝鲜它的经济可能真的已经面临到非常严峻的地步。虽然几年前有放出一些信息说希望能够模仿中国的改革开放的一些政策,我想他可能也是有到中国去取经的味道。」

据《韩联社》的报导,5月19号在韩国国会议员会馆举行的「对朝粮食援助研讨会」上,世界粮食计划署驻朝鲜代表克劳迪娅.勒尔(Claudia von Roehl)表示,由于粮食产量和国际援助减少,600万名朝鲜居民遭受缺粮之苦。

美国国务院的朝鲜人权特使罗伯特.金(Robert King)24号访问朝鲜,评估那里的食品短缺情况,同时提出朝鲜的人权问题。韩美两国将根据评估结果决定是否重启对朝粮食援助。

去年因天安舰和延坪岛挑衅事件,韩美两国彻底切断了对朝鲜的援助。在这个境况下,据韩国《朝鲜日报》的报导说,金正日的妹夫张成泽5月底访问吉林丹东,就鸭绿江下游的「黄金坪」租借给中国百年,签署协议。

加拿大拉瓦尔大学经济学教授苏展:「北韩这几年的问题实际上不是简单的搞几个什么特区,它必须要有一个体制的改革。在今天来讲,北韩面临着两个大的政治问题,一个是东亚的紧张关系,尤其是由于北韩的一系列举动;第二个政治问题就是它的继承权的问题。」

《韩联社》报导,朝鲜在2009年修改宪法,新宪法中去掉了「共产主义」一词,首次写入了「先军思想」,以军队为优先。去年9月,金正日進一步延伸世袭独裁体制,确立他的第三个儿子金正恩,为金氏政权的继承人,金正恩年仅27岁。

而日本《读卖新闻》报导说,金正恩在确定接班人地位后,经常发表重视经济的言论,如「过去可以没有粮食,但不能没有子弹,如今是可以没有子弹,但一定要有粮食」;他还说「要在3年内让居民吃上米饭肉汤」。

22号,温家宝在中日韩首脑峰会中,强调通过对话,缓解韩朝紧张关系,并向李明博总统重申了反对朝鲜拥有核武器的态度。

今年初,美中首脑会谈,就朝鲜核问题商定重启对话。中日韩首脑在22号的峰会中一致认为,朝鲜半岛无核化将极大的促進东北亚的和平与稳定。而外界则指出,朝鲜「核项目」实际上是金正日和中共讹诈国际社会重要的一张牌。

新唐人记者李元翰、萧宇综合报导。

NK Seeks Help?

North Korean (NK) leader Kim Jong Il visited China, during the summit of China, Japan and South Korea. It is rare for Kim Jong Il to visit China three times within a year. An outsider' analysis pointed out that this indicates NK's seeking of help from China, so NK would not face political and economic difficulties at home and isolation internationally.

South Korean media reported that on May 20, Kim Jong Il arrived in Yanbian Jilin by train, via Mudanjiang and Changchun. He visited he Changchun First Automobile on May 21. It is learned that this company would invest in NK.

Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao told Lee Myung-bak, South Korean President on May 22 in Tokyo, that the purpose of Kim's visit is to understand China's development and thus gain a reference.

After a 29-hour train ride, Kim Jong Il arrived at Yangzhou, Jiangsu. Kim visited a supermarket and a solar technology company. On May 24, he arrived at Nanking and visited the Panda Electronics, Olympic Stadium and the World Museum. In the afternoon, he went to Beijing and talked with Chinese leaders.

North Korea lacks energy, food and essential raw materials and also suffers under the United Nations' sanction due to its nuclear program. Voice of America pointed out on May 23, that China was concerned with NK's refugees rush if NK would collapse due to economic catastrophe.

The South Korean presidential spokesman referred to Kim's visit as "an educational trip.” Analysts in Japan said that Kim's China visit was an embarrassing request for assistance from China to solve food shortage crisis in NK.

Wang Weizheng, a Professor of Political Science, at the University of Richmond: "N. Korea is probably facing economy hardships. Although a few years ago it voiced out that it wants to imitate China's reform and opening up policies. I think he wants to learn something from China."

According to Yonhap, in South Korea was held a "Seminar on food aid to North Korea.”. Claudia von Roehl from the World Food Program said on behalf of North Korea that due to reduction of food production and international assistance, 6 million Koreans will suffer from food shortages.

Robert King, U.S. State Department's NK human rights envoy, visited NK on May 24, to assess the situation of food shortages there and also to raise the issue with NKs' human rights. Based on the assessment, Korea and the U.S. will decide if food aid programs can restart in NK.

Due to the Cheonan and Yin Ping Island incidents last year Korea and the U.S. completely cut off aids to North Korea. Under this situation, Chosun Ilbo of South Korea reported that Kim's brother-in-law
Jang visited Jilin Province in May and signed a lease of the “Golden Plain” at the downstream of Yalu River to China for 100 years.

Su Zhan (Economics' Professor, University of Laval, Canada): setting up special administrative regions but it needed an institutional reform. NK is facing two major political issues today, one is the tension in East Asia, in particular a series of moves by NK, the other is a question of its inheritance.”

Yonhap reported that in 2009 North Korea amended the constitution and the word “communism” was replaced by "military-first ideology." Last September, Kim Jong Il extended the hereditary dictatorship further and established 27-year-old Kim Zhengen (his third son) as his heir.

And Japan's Yomiuri Shimbun reported: “After being confirmed as the heir, Kim Zhengen frequently published his remarks about economy such as 'In the past, we could tolerate no food, but not without bullets, now we can tolerate no bullets but not without food'. He also said:  'All civilians will have rice and meat
within three years'.”

Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao stressed at the summit on May 22, that through dialogues tensions between
North and South Korea could be eased, but he too is opposing a nuclear North Korea.

The Korean nuclear issue was raised again during the US-China summit early this year. Then leaders from US, Japan and Korea agreed, that denuclearization of the Korean peninsula will greatly promote peace and stability in Northeast Asia. An outsider pointed out that North Korea's nuclear program is actually a scheme between China and North Korea to blackmail the international community.

NTD reporters Li Yuanhan and Xiao Yu

From 新唐人电视 http://www.ntdtv.com/xtr/gb/2011/05/25/atext536254.html
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